![[info]](http://l-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small}
Apparently, Dennis Kucinich, Bill Richardson, and Joe Biden will all be directing their vote to support Barack Obama if they do not reach the 15% threshold in the caucus tonight. If those campaigns actually succeed in doing this, I would imagine that Obama might actually win in a landslide. That's about 15-20% of votes that would be heading straight to Obama who is already in a virtual tie with Clinton and Edwards. Unfortunately for Obama, I don't think they'll be able to convince everyone to listen to their 1st choices so it's good news, but probably not great news for him.
Also, ironically, John McCain may be the big story coming out of Iowa despite the fact that he has virtually no chance to win. If Romney and Huckabee are bunched up at 1st and 2nd and McCain finishes a strong 3rd, there's a good chance that he'll be the headline on the Republican side for beating expectations. Realistically, the best reasonable situation for McCain would probably be something like Huckabee 28, Romney 26, McCain 17 where Huckabee doesn't win big, Romney loses, and he does pretty well. Given his surge in national polls and New Hampshire polls, that could be enough to push him over the top.
Also, ironically, John McCain may be the big story coming out of Iowa despite the fact that he has virtually no chance to win. If Romney and Huckabee are bunched up at 1st and 2nd and McCain finishes a strong 3rd, there's a good chance that he'll be the headline on the Republican side for beating expectations. Realistically, the best reasonable situation for McCain would probably be something like Huckabee 28, Romney 26, McCain 17 where Huckabee doesn't win big, Romney loses, and he does pretty well. Given his surge in national polls and New Hampshire polls, that could be enough to push him over the top.
1 comment | Leave a comment